CNN’s Top Polling Analyst: Trump Likely Doing A Lot Better Than Polls Indicate

CNN’s top polling analyst said on Tuesday that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump was still “very much” in the presidential race in terms of how close he is to Vice President Kamala Harris in current polling.

Harry Enten said during the segment that looking back at the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the polls were significantly off in representing Trump’s support across the country.

“So, August 13th, how far were the polls off in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin? And this is in 2016 and 2020,” he said. “Take a look here, in 2016, the average poll in those states that I mentioned, those Great Lake battleground states, Trump was underestimated by nine points on average at this point in 2016. How about 2020? It wasn’t a one-off. Look at this, he was underestimated by five points on average.”

Enten noted that Harris’ alleged lead over Trump in those states was lower, only four points, than how much Trump was underestimated by polls.

“The bottom line is this. If you have any idea, if you’re a Kamala Harris fan and you want to rip open the champagne bottle, pop that cork, do not do it,” he said. “Donald Trump is very much in this race. If we have a polling shift, like we’ve seen in prior years from now until the final result, Donald Trump would actually win. I’m not saying that’s going to happen, but I am saying that he is very much in this ballgame based upon where he is right now. And compare that to where he was in prior years.”

WATCH THE TRAILER FOR ‘AM I RACIST?’ — A MATT WALSH COMEDY ON DEI

Enten further noted that just because Harris has the momentum and enthusiasm at the moment, that does not actually translate to people showing up to vote for her.

Even though she had better numbers than Biden, the number of voters who said that they were definitely going to cast a vote for her was lower than Biden by one point while Trump has seen that number increase by two points in the same time span.

“So, the bottom line here is, yes, there may be more enthusiasm for Kamala Harris, but the fact is we’re not seeing that necessarily translate in the almost certain to vote,” he said, later adding: “And one little other note: Donald Trump is more popular today than he was on August 13th in either 2020 or 2016. So, the bottom line is, yes, Kamala Harris is doing better in the polls, but there’s a long way to go. The polls can shift. The almost certain to vote hasn’t actually shifted and Donald Trump is more popular than he was at either 2016 or 2020 at this point.”

WATCH:

3 caution points for Democrats…

1. Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point & the result matches what we saw in 2016 or 2020.
2. Trump’s more popular now than at this pt in 2016 or 2020.
3. Dems don’t say they’re more likely to vote now than in May pic.twitter.com/E0zfPCyKS9

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) August 13, 2024

Hunter Biden Sought U.S. Assistance For Ukraine Gas Company While Father Was VP: State Department

Hunter Biden sought assistance from the United States government in 2016 to help Burisma, the Ukrainian gas company where he served on the board, expand its business into Italy while his father served as vice president in the Obama administration.

Accusations that Hunter Biden, now a convicted felon, leveraged his father’s position in the White House to help him secure lucrative business deals overseas have followed the cocaine addict for many years.

The New York Times reported on Tuesday that the Biden-Harris State Department released records to the newspaper late last month about Hunter Biden’s request after hiding the information from the public for years. The State Department refused to release the actual text of the letter.

The Freedom of Information Act, or FOIA, was filed by the newspaper in June 2021. The newspaper filed a lawsuit eight months later after the State Department refused to release records. After another year and a half, the department tried to close the case by releasing a large trove of documents — though none that had anything to do with Hunter Biden’s contacts with the U.S. government.

The Times questioned the legitimacy of the department’s search given that it had failed to produce records that were discovered on Hunter Biden’s laptop. The department continued to drag its feet until they finally released the documents on July 26, only five days after Biden announced that he was dropping out of the presidential race amid abysmal polling numbers that showed him getting crushed by former President Donald Trump.

The records show that Hunter Biden wrote at least one letter to the U.S. ambassador to Italy, John R. Phillips, asking if he could arrange a meeting between Burisma and the president of Tuscany, a region inside Italy.

WATCH THE TRAILER FOR ‘AM I RACIST?’ — A MATT WALSH COMEDY ON DEI

Hunter Biden is set to face trial next month in another criminal case about evading paying taxes on millions of dollars that he made from Burisma and other foreign entities. The newspaper said that federal prosecutors recently indicated that they could file additional charges against the president’s son under the Foreign Agents Registration Act, or FARA, since he was lobbying the U.S. government without being registered.

The Times said that the discovery was made in emails that the State Department released after a separate request for public records related to Hunter Biden’s contacts with officials at the U.S. Embassy in Romania about helping a real estate developer.

In a July 2016 email, Hunter Biden business partner Eric Schwerin wrote to Enrico Rossi, the then-president of the Tuscany regional government: “Burisma is hoping that some of its executives can get a meeting with the president to discuss their geothermal business in Tuscany.”

Hunter Biden’s letter was attached to the email, but the State Department redacted the entire letter.

A U.S. official in the Commerce Department said that the U.S. Ambassador to Italy already responded to one email from Hunter Biden and they thought he was “shopping for more support than he got here.”

While the Burisma project never got started in Tuscany, the newspaper conceded that it was unknown whether the U.S. Embassy ever “went to bat for Burisma.”

About Us

Virtus (virtue, valor, excellence, courage, character, and worth)

Vincit (conquers, triumphs, and wins)