Oddsmaker: Tim Walz Is 30x More Likely To Be Charged With A Crime Than Be The Next President

Popular oddsmaker Polymarket announced on Tuesday that Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) is 3o times more likely to be charged with a crime than he is to be elected the next President of the United States.

The betting site shared that information along with additional data showing that he had a 23% chance of being charged within one year — by December 31, 2026 — and there was a 9% chance that he could be facing charges in as little as 90 days, by March 31, 2026.

JUST IN: Tim Walz is now 30x more likely to be criminally charged than be the next President of the United States. pic.twitter.com/l5MrzbdAEO

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) December 30, 2025

Related predictions show that there is a 52% chance that someone — although no one was named specifically — will be charged in the recently-revealed daycare fraud largely connected to the Somali community by January 31, 2026. The chances were much greater (89%) that charges will come by June 30, 2026, and still greater  (94%) that they will come by December 31, 2026.

As far as Walz’s political aspirations, the site showed a 5% chance that he would announce a presidential run before 2027, a 1% chance that he’d win the 2028 Democratic nomination, and a 1% chance that he’d ultimately be successful in winning the presidency. Vice President JD Vance still tops the odds in that last category, with a 31% chance of winning the presidency in 2028.

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Should things not go Walz’s way, however, Polymarket puts the odds of him resigning as Governor of Minnesota before 2027 at 52%. The odds that he will resign by June 30, 2026, are set at 15%, and the odds he will resign prior to January 31, 2026, are set at 3%.

Walz has been under fire for weeks as layer after layer of fraud has been uncovered in the state of Minnesota — and much of it took place on his watch or was made easier due to policies he put into place while serving as governor.

George Clooney Claims Bari Weiss Is ‘Dismantling CBS News As We Speak’

Actor George Clooney claimed during a recent interview that new editorial chief Bari Weiss is “dismantling CBS News as we speak,” wringing his hands about a possible future in which the United States would be forced to operate “without a functioning press.”

Clooney did not just single out CBS News in the interview, a cover story published by Variety. In fact, he argued that a number of legacy media outlets had lost their footing when they settled various lawsuits with President Donald Trump.

“If CBS and ABC had challenged those lawsuits and said, ‘Go, f*** yourself,’ we wouldn’t be where we are in the country,” Clooney says. “That’s simply the truth.”

Clooney cited the ABC News lawsuit and suggested that the network should have fought harder — in spite of the fact that longtime anchor George Stephanopoulos had been warned “so many times” prior to his broadcast not to say that Trump had been found “liable for rape” because it was demonstrably untrue. The anchor’s failure to comply with that directive cost the network millions.

His main beef was with the new direction taken by CBS News under new Editor-in-Chief Bari Weiss — who was offered the job by David Ellison, Skydance founder and Paramount chairman, after a merger.

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“Bari Weiss is dismantling CBS News as we speak. Am I worried about film studios? Sure. It’s my business, but my primary loyalty is to my country. I’m much more worried about how we inform ourselves and how we’re going to discern reality without a functioning press,” he complained.

Clooney, who is largely credited with turning the tide against former President Joe Biden in the summer of 2024, has been very critical of President Trump — a former friend of his — as well.

“It’s a very trying time. It can depress you or make you very angry. But you have to find the most positive way through it. You have to put your head down and keep moving forward because quitting isn’t an option,” he said, adding of Trump, “I knew him very well. He used to call me a lot, and he tried to help me get into a hospital once to see a back surgeon. I’d see him out at clubs and see him out at restaurants. He’s a big goofball. Well, he was. That all changed.”

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