Popular oddsmaker Polymarket announced on Tuesday that Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) is 3o times more likely to be charged with a crime than he is to be elected the next President of the United States.

The betting site shared that information along with additional data showing that he had a 23% chance of being charged within one year — by December 31, 2026 — and there was a 9% chance that he could be facing charges in as little as 90 days, by March 31, 2026.

JUST IN: Tim Walz is now 30x more likely to be criminally charged than be the next President of the United States. pic.twitter.com/l5MrzbdAEO

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) December 30, 2025

Related predictions show that there is a 52% chance that someone — although no one was named specifically — will be charged in the recently-revealed daycare fraud largely connected to the Somali community by January 31, 2026. The chances were much greater (89%) that charges will come by June 30, 2026, and still greater  (94%) that they will come by December 31, 2026.

As far as Walz’s political aspirations, the site showed a 5% chance that he would announce a presidential run before 2027, a 1% chance that he’d win the 2028 Democratic nomination, and a 1% chance that he’d ultimately be successful in winning the presidency. Vice President JD Vance still tops the odds in that last category, with a 31% chance of winning the presidency in 2028.

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Should things not go Walz’s way, however, Polymarket puts the odds of him resigning as Governor of Minnesota before 2027 at 52%. The odds that he will resign by June 30, 2026, are set at 15%, and the odds he will resign prior to January 31, 2026, are set at 3%.

Walz has been under fire for weeks as layer after layer of fraud has been uncovered in the state of Minnesota — and much of it took place on his watch or was made easier due to policies he put into place while serving as governor.

A CNN panel discussion quickly veered off the rails when one guest claimed that Israel had invaded Gaza in much the same way that Russia invaded Ukraine.

The conversation took place on “CNN NewsNight,” hosted by Abby Phillip, and spiraled out of control when “The Majority Report” host Emma Vigeland argued that the United States lacked credibility in addressing the conflict between Russia and Ukraine after supporting Israel.

“I do think that the kind of elephant in the room here is the United States completely losing, and the Biden administration is immensely complicit in this as well, moral standing throughout the world due to our complicity in the genocide in Gaza. Which has made it very difficult for us to speak to Ukrainian sovereignty and having a bully like the Russian government invading their sovereign territory” she said.

Conservative commentator Scott Jennings was clearly taken aback, but when he attempted to debate the point, Phillip called him off and said there wasn’t time. Jennings pressed onward regardless, undeterred.

“We have to debate this, Abby. Oh, we don’t have time for the anti-Israel propaganda?” he began, and everyone at the table began talking at once. “Unbelievable. October the 7th was fine? Yeah, unbelievable.”

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“Oh well, we let it unspool for two minutes. But sure. I mean, honestly, I don’t understand. Israel is our ally. Not a single word in your speech for the atrocities that were committed on October the 7th. Not a single word,” Jennings continued.

“There shouldn’t be,” Vigeland doubled down. “We should cut off arms tomorrow.”

“Not a single word for the idea that Israel has every right to defend itself,” Jennings said, and Vigeland could be seen laughing as he added, “Not a single word for the fact that Hamas right now is killing people inside of Gaza — their own people. You seem to lay it all at the feet of Israel. Israel, a democratic ally, and your own country, and you have no negative word for the terrorists who raped and murdered and kidnapped, zero.”

Vigeland protested, saying that B’Tselem, an Israeli “human rights group” that has a clearly anti-Israel agenda, had referred to the situation in Gaza as a “genocide.”

“None, none,” Jennings said. “And you still don’t. You still don’t!”