With the strong possibility that Democratic Marxist-Islamist mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani may be elected mayor of New York City on Tuesday night, Texas Governor Greg Abbott’s sights are squarely on New Yorkers.

Anticipating the mass escape from New York that might occur with a Mamdani victory, Abbott wrote on X, “After the polls close tomorrow night, I will impose a 100% tariff on anyone moving to Texas from NYC.”

After the polls close tomorrow night, I will impose a 100% tariff on anyone moving to Texas from NYC.

— Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) November 3, 2025

This move fits neatly into Abbott’s broader pattern of blending culture-war politics with aggressive state policy. Over the past year, he has made it clear that leftist ideologies — especially in academia — won’t be welcomed in the Lone Star State. “Texas is targeting professors who are more focused on pushing leftist ideologies rather than preparing students to lead our nation,” he wrote last month. “We must end indoctrination and return to education fundamentals at all levels of education.”

Univ. of Texas professor was dismissed from an administrative post overseeing university academic affairs because of ideological differences.

Texas is targeting professors who are more focused on pushing leftist ideologies rather than preparing students to lead our nation.

We…

— Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) October 19, 2025

Abbott has since championed audits of gender identity and LGBTQ courses across the University of Texas system, framing them as a battle for educational fundamentals. Texas lawmakers, meanwhile, are demanding even stricter oversight, convinced that schools are still promoting “radical leftist” content.

Abbott has also taken a hard line on immigration, and targeted the leftist Northeast. In 2022 alone, Texas bused nearly 16,000 migrants to sanctuary cities including New York, Washington, D.C., and Chicago. Abbott indicated it was relief for overburdened localities. Even Democrats like former New York Governor David Patterson admitted the tactic was “brilliant” from a strategic standpoint, noting its ability to highlight federal inaction while putting sanctuary city leaders on the defensive.

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Abbott’s “100% tariff” joke signals a zero tolerance stance for residents leaving NYC for Texas if a progressive mayor takes office. The idea is to draw a stark line between Texas’ conservative values and what Abbott portrays as leftist chaos elsewhere.

From auditing classrooms to busing migrants and now slapping hypothetical tariffs on New Yorkers, Greg Abbott is proving that in Texas, governance and culture wars are inseparable — and that he won’t hesitate to take his fight beyond the state line.

One single poll stands out amid a virtual sea of data that all predict a landslide victory for New York City’s Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani — a self-described Democratic socialist — and suggests that perhaps he doesn’t have a complete lock on the Big Apple.

The poll in question, released on Monday by Atlas Intel, surveyed 2,404 likely voters in New York City between October 31 and November 2, and shows Mamdani with a rapidly dwindling lead of under five points — with less than 48 hours to go before polls close.

The major shift, according to the data, appears to be a rapid drop off in support for Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa (-8.6%) just since the previous poll covering October 25-30. In addition to the drop in support for Sliwa, the poll also showed a bump of 3.3% for Mamdani and a much larger bump (5.4%) for former Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY).

📊FINAL ATLAS POLL

2025 NYC Mayoral Election

Mamdani (D) leads with 43.9% of the vote (+3.3 since Oct. 30), while Cuomo (I) trails close behind at 39.4% (+5.4 since Oct. 30). With Sliwa (R) dropping 8.6pp, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo decreased to 4.5pp. pic.twitter.com/cP1FZqpoAH

— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 3, 2025

But the poll did not stop there. Respondents were also asked how they might vote if the race were narrowed down to just Cuomo and Mamdani — and the results showed that while Mamdani had made slight gains, Cuomo still came out on top.

3⃣ Since Oct. 30, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo in a hypothetical election scenario where Eric Adams is still in the race decreased by 2.8pp. Meanwhile, voting intention for Sliwa decreased by 8.1pp. pic.twitter.com/nxwOjXeN1O

— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 3, 2025

The demographic breakdown gave a clearer picture of what might ultimately come out of New York City’s election on Tuesday. Male voters preferred Mamdani 50.6% to 33%, while women preferred Cuomo 45.1% to 37.4%. Mamdani had the edge with voters aged 18-44, while voters over 45 preferred Cuomo.

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When it came to partisanship, Democrats unsurprisingly said they’d support Mamdani 61.6% to 35% for Cuomo — and 2.5% for Sliwa. Among Republicans, 52.1% said they’d support Sliwa, 42% would support Cuomo, and 4.9% would support Mamdani. Among Independents, however, Cuomo led with 53.1% — and Sliwa (18.6%) and Mamdani (29.9%) lagged far behind.