One single poll stands out amid a virtual sea of data that all predict a landslide victory for New York City’s Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani — a self-described Democratic socialist — and suggests that perhaps he doesn’t have a complete lock on the Big Apple.

The poll in question, released on Monday by Atlas Intel, surveyed 2,404 likely voters in New York City between October 31 and November 2, and shows Mamdani with a rapidly dwindling lead of under five points — with less than 48 hours to go before polls close.

The major shift, according to the data, appears to be a rapid drop off in support for Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa (-8.6%) just since the previous poll covering October 25-30. In addition to the drop in support for Sliwa, the poll also showed a bump of 3.3% for Mamdani and a much larger bump (5.4%) for former Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY).

📊FINAL ATLAS POLL

2025 NYC Mayoral Election

Mamdani (D) leads with 43.9% of the vote (+3.3 since Oct. 30), while Cuomo (I) trails close behind at 39.4% (+5.4 since Oct. 30). With Sliwa (R) dropping 8.6pp, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo decreased to 4.5pp. pic.twitter.com/cP1FZqpoAH

— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 3, 2025

But the poll did not stop there. Respondents were also asked how they might vote if the race were narrowed down to just Cuomo and Mamdani — and the results showed that while Mamdani had made slight gains, Cuomo still came out on top.

3⃣ Since Oct. 30, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo in a hypothetical election scenario where Eric Adams is still in the race decreased by 2.8pp. Meanwhile, voting intention for Sliwa decreased by 8.1pp. pic.twitter.com/nxwOjXeN1O

— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) November 3, 2025

The demographic breakdown gave a clearer picture of what might ultimately come out of New York City’s election on Tuesday. Male voters preferred Mamdani 50.6% to 33%, while women preferred Cuomo 45.1% to 37.4%. Mamdani had the edge with voters aged 18-44, while voters over 45 preferred Cuomo.

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When it came to partisanship, Democrats unsurprisingly said they’d support Mamdani 61.6% to 35% for Cuomo — and 2.5% for Sliwa. Among Republicans, 52.1% said they’d support Sliwa, 42% would support Cuomo, and 4.9% would support Mamdani. Among Independents, however, Cuomo led with 53.1% — and Sliwa (18.6%) and Mamdani (29.9%) lagged far behind.

President Donald Trump said that the reason he directed the United States to conduct new nuclear weapons tests was that countries like China and Russia were secretly doing the same thing. 

Trump made the comments during a wide-ranging interview with CBS News correspondent Nora O’Donnell on “60 Minutes” that was broadcast on Sunday. Just before he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping last week, Trump posted on Truth Social that he had directed the Department of War to start testing America’s nuclear weapons. 

“You have to see how they work,” Trump said of his directive. “The reason I’m saying testing is because Russia announced that they were going to be doing a test. If you notice, North Korea’s testing constantly. Other countries are testing. We’re the only country that doesn’t test, and I don’t want to be the only country that doesn’t test.”

When O’Donnell said that countries like China and Russia hadn’t done nuclear weapons testing, Trump countered that they were doing so secretly.

“Russia’s testing nuclear weapons,” Trump said. “And China’s testing them too. You just don’t know about it.”

“Russia’s testing, and China’s testing, but they don’t talk about it. You know, we’re an open society. We’re different. We talk about it. We have to talk about it, because otherwise you people are going to report,” Trump said. “We’re going to test, because they test and others test.”

Trump then suggested that Russia and China may be testing their nuclear weapons underground. 

On Monday, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning denied that China was conducting nuclear weapons tests. She claimed that China has “upheld a self-defense nuclear strategy and abided by its commitment to suspend nuclear testing.”

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Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Sunday that upcoming U.S. testing would involve systems checks, not nuclear detonations.

“I think the tests we’re talking about right now are system tests,” he said during an appearance on Fox News’ “Sunday Briefing.” “These are not nuclear explosions. These are what we call noncritical explosions.”

Wright added that the tests would include looking at “all the other parts of a nuclear weapon to make sure they deliver the appropriate geometry and they set up the nuclear explosion.”

The last time the United States detonated a nuclear weapon was in 1992. In 1996, the United States, under President Bill Clinton, signed an international agreement not to test nuclear weapons, but the Senate voted against ratifying the treaty. The last publicly reported test of a nuclear weapon was by North Korea in 2017.